April 03, 2005

Price Gouging : The Pump & Beyond

I go to the filling station as much as most Americans and I’m kind of miffed over how much I have to pay for gasoline these days. I know that those in Europe pay double what we do here in the US, but we use more. Lots more. The Europeans have wonderful mass transit, a geographical proximity between regions, and newer technologies that reduce the need for oil are already in place. All facts that I’m quite envious of, but these facts notwithstanding, our enormous demand for oil should continue to keep the prices lower, being that this pricing is based on a supply and demand scale. Yet, I have to wonder, is this really true? Is it really the ‘market’ that dictates the supply and pricing, or, as I suspect, do the oil cartels and traders conspire to artificially create this spike?

It is easy to point the accusatory finger at OPEC. After all, they have their hand on the spigot, and control the flow of crude. There really isn’t anyway to force them into opening up the supply either, unless we are willing to use our military power to achieve this, and I’m usually opposed to military intervention for financial gain, though our country does have a history of doing it. OPEC does not operate openly and does in fact artificially create bottlenecks in the supply of crude oil. The cost ratio of production cost to market value is also troubling. See the link below for more information.

Monopoly Control Allows Price Manipulation

http://www.inq7.net/opi/2004/jun/15/text/letter_2-1-p.htm

Recently, I had a short conversation with a commodities broker and former employee of Goldman Sachs. I asked him point-blank, “I know that OPEC is playing a dirty game with us. One can expect them to do that. But, are there brokerage houses and American companies that play a part in this, too? Do they really manipulate the market on this end of the supply?” He didn’t answer the question directly. He simply began laughing hysterically, as if I had asked him if the moon was really a street lamp. I understood from his response that he thought I was living under a rock all this time to not notice what was going on around me. He’s right. I hadn’t given it too much thought, in spite of my suspicions.

Oil Prices Surge to New Records

http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/business/4399537.stm

“Crude oil prices hit record levels on Friday, with leading investment bank Goldman Sachs warning the cost of a barrel could eventually top $100. Goldman Sachs said that the oil market may be in the early stages of a "super spike", which could push prices as high as $105 a barrel. It said strong global demand, allied to potential instability in oil producing countries, could inflate prices. US light crude rose as much as $2.40 to $57.70 a barrel in New York.” Please go to the link for the full measure of bullshit from the investment analysts.

Notice the ambiguous language used by the shylocks at Goldman Sachs. They use words like ‘spike’ or ‘market’ and we just kind of give them a pass without asking them to explain what it is they mean. In truth, we don’t have to ask them, unless we are desperate for more of the same bullshit we get already. “Spike means that you’re going to pay more, and ‘market’ means, “Because we say so.” There are no natural, supernatural, ethereal, or philosophic forces behind the steady rise in gasoline prices. It is more of the same manipulation, intended to produce outrageous profits, even where the supply, beneath the sand, or already in barrels is more than adequate for our needs. This is but another shameful result of deregulation of the market. It gives the purveyors of greed an open license to steal from the American people.

Finally, we have some investigatory work from the office of Senator Carl Levin of Michigan, confirming all of the above.

http://levin.senate.gov/newsroom/release.cfm?id=209139

Here are few choice excerpts. See the above link for the full article.

(2) DOE ACTIONS INCREASED OIL PRICES AND HURT CONSUMERS. DOE ignored warnings by career staff that filling the SPR when oil prices were high and oil supplies were tight could drive oil prices higher and hurt consumers, did not conduct a cost-benefit analysis of the new policy, and did not attempt to estimate or track consumer or taxpayer costs. A case study of a one-month period in mid-2002, found crude oil price increases caused by SPR deposits spiked the US spot price of home heating oil by 13%, jet fuel by 10%, and diesel fuel by 8%, costing US consumers between $500 million and $1 billion.

(7) UNAVAILABILITY OF INFORMATION MAKES DETECTION AND PREVENTION OF PRICE MANIPULATION DIFFICULT. Crude oil prices are affected by trading not only on regulated exchanges like the NYMEX, but also on unregulated over-the-counter markets which have become major trading centers for energy contracts and derivatives. The lack of information about these over-the-counter markets makes it difficult, if not impossible, to determine whether traders have manipulated crude oil prices.

Senator Levin also provides some remedies for the problem.

The chain of deceit in the oil market costs the consumer extra at every step of the way. Monopolies have been outlawed for reason, and yet, the oil cartels and the major oil companies continue to operate in an almost clandestine fashion, lacking the transparency necessary to allay the fears of a disgruntled American public, tired of paying higher prices and not ever knowing why. I do not believe that gasoline should be free, but c’mon! I know price gouging when I see it. Do the math.

It is time to bring back honesty and decency to our markets! Maybe it means Socialism, maybe it does not. Please write your Congressman on this issue. Alternative energies are very important, but they are far off in the future. Right now, we should at least be demanding accountability and honesty from those we do business with, all the way from the oil derrick to the gas pump. An economy without a moral or ethical conscience is a tyranny, no less than that of a military despot or insane monarch.

It is even more disturbing, though not surprising, that the Bush Administration, top-heavy with former oil executives and lobbyists, has a hand in this. They alter and avoid regulations to benefit their constituency, with little or no regard for the long-term damage done to the American people. We have corporate fascism at work here.

Help me get the word out. Awareness is key to change.

3 Comments:

At 7:50 AM , Blogger Conservative Apikoris said...

While I don't doubt that the big-money boys are up to mischief, increasing petroleum proces are not the cause of some vast conspiracy. We're simply approaching the phenomenon called "peak oil," when global oil production will start to decline, this at a time when global demand is increasing. (China, Inida, etc. becomming more industrialized and prosperous and driving up demand, not to mentioned increased energy use in the developed world.)

Check out http://www.peakoil.net/ for more information. Also: http://www.kunstler.com/spch_hudson.htm


What to do? Not much you can do about oil prices. The best thing is to sell your house in the suburbs, buy an apartment in the city, and start taking the bus to work. I cut my gasoline use in half by taking a new job that allows me to commute by train. We're thinking of selling on of the cars.

Lifestyle change is going to be forced on everybody. Might as well do it now on your own terms. It's time to let go of the bullshit fantasy of the drive-in utopia that we were promised. And, in the end, it will probably be better for us when we get out of our cars and start wealking again. We'll be healthier, both mentally and physically.

 
At 8:33 AM , Blogger Shlomo Leib Aronovitz said...

CA,

Thanks for the comments.

Re: While I don't doubt that the big-money boys are up to mischief, increasing petroleum prices are not the cause of some vast conspiracy.

Six of one/half-dozen of another. Conspiracy is just another word for plan. They ‘plan’ to make money from the beginning. That’s fine and good. When we see production costs remain fairly constant, yet the cost skyrocketing, something “smells rotten in the state of Denmark.” The increased demand is not a reason, it is an excuse. All OPEC has to do is open the spigots a bit wider. The brokers follow the same pattern, using any market or supply fluctuation to increase their margins. Is it a conspiracy? You bet. Part of it is noble and expected. Part of it is criminal.

Re: The best thing is to sell your house in the suburbs, buy an apartment in the city, and start taking the bus to work.

You’re right. I moved to the city from the suburbs over five years ago. Moved to a smaller home in the city. I was bicycling to work, but that became difficult, since my work hours increased and I don’t have the luxury of a desk job. I am moving all day long. Fifty hours of that, plus a total of 2 ½ hours on a bike, would probably kill me now. It wouldn’t help my productivity in the least. I’ve been with this company for 13 years, and I’m not about to give that up. Get older, see how you feel about all that.

The other issue is the bus. In Detroit, public transportation is a joke. Unlike NYC, where a car is luxury, in most of the Detroit Area, no car means no way to get anywhere, unless you are fortunate enough to be in good shape, or close to your office. That, too, was a conspiracy of the auto manufacturers way back in the day. They decided that mass transit in Detroit, which consisted of trains, buses, and trolleys, would not benefit their sales, so they lobbyed against any and all legislation or funding for public transportation. Fact of history. I also work a swing shift, and unlike many other cities, Detroit’s buses do not run 24 hours in most places, nor do they cover all of the city.

I do what I can, but none of us live in a vacuum. So you’re right to suggest other ways of coping, but why should it stop there? Why should we blindly accept criminality under the guise of economic theory or policy? The fact remains that we are being price-gouged for a necessity, that not only affects those of us who drive, but everyone who relies on oil for their business. The higher prices don’t just turn up at the pump. In fact, the only places the ‘trickle-down’ economics works is when it comes to higher prices for everything. I work in the moving and storage business,and I don’t pay the higher gas prices, my customers do.

There is no doubt whatsoever that those who control the market are not the consumers, but those who stand to profit from it. We do not control the supply, we do not have access to the information, nor do our leaders (currently ALL oil people) possess any political will to investigate the problem. The pressures for higher profits, conflicts of interest, and pure greed, much as we have seen in other corrupt corporate ventures, cannot lead one to any conclusion other than to say this is a cabal of the strongest magnitude.

 
At 4:43 PM , Blogger Shlomo Leib Aronovitz said...

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4581056

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4526924

Here are two links from NPR News that offer some different ideas on the subject. They mention the growing global demand, but also say that refineries and crude producers are testing the limits of the market by inflating prices.

Would Goldman-Sachs be predicting a ‘super-spike’ to get people to invest right now? Is it indicative of a self-fulfilling prophecy?

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article_pf.asp?a_id=21470

At the above link you will fond the opinion of another brokerage firm. Here is a short quote from the article:

Some market experts said the report definitely contributed to the "background noise" that helped futures contracts such as natural gas higher. "Part of the background noise is this asinine projection by somebody at Goldman Sachs that crude oil could hit $105/bbl," said Ed Kennedy of Commercial Brokerage Corp. in Miami. "They better watch themselves. If there is even a hint of them trying to manipulate market prices they are in deep trouble. I've been a technician for 35 years... You cannot predict a super-spike! I have no idea what they are talking about."

This article also adds more insight to how and why oil prices rise. The factors are not all criminal. What is clear, however, is that Goldman-Sachs is making these remarks to attract investors, rather than there being actual market forces that drive up costs. It could be both, but either way, it seems to be a way of the supplier/broker dictating the market and not the supply.

Recap: Top oil trader Goldman Sachs speculates $105 (largest stake will benefit company in claiming speculation). Market is unsure (no hard facts to back up GS claim) nevertheless raises futures prices based on GS' report. Spot markets react to futures market. Gasoline prices rise based on artificial report on a futures market. Common person sees prices rise without knowing the facts behind the hikes.

What a scam.

 

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